IMF forecast: Greece will lag behind EU leaders in income by 2030

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Greece will stay among the poorest countries EU by income per capita by 2030despite the wide economical growth, follows from the forecasts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), analyzed Euronews Business.

According to experts, GDP per capita successful Greece will emergence from astir $45,000 to $54,000 (PPP)but this is not capable to adjacent the spread with richer countries successful Europe.

Greece’s presumption worsens

According to the forecast, Greece will driblet from 29th to 32nd place among European countries successful terms of welfare.

This is 1 of the astir noticeable declines successful the ranking, though wide changes crossed Europe stay minimal.

Country2025 ($, PPP)2030 ($, PPP)
Ireland 152,632 181,953
Luxembourg 152,966 168,566
Norway 111,545 126,494
Switzerland 102,096 117,660
Denmark 86,094 99,669
Netherlands 84,738 97,889
Malta 78,689 96,737
Iceland 80,662 90,028
Belgium 76.208 87,697
Sweden 74,081 87,260
Austria 75.825 87,009
Germany 74,004 86,280
Cyprus 64,785 80,605
Finland 66,297 78,459
EU (average) 65,274 77.231
France 66,276 76,234
United Kingdom 65.525 76,029
Czech Republic 60,247 74,976
Italy 63,538 73,276
Spain 57,034 66.114
Greece 44,981 54,477

The spread with the leaders remains significant

Even with rising indicators the quality betwixt Greece and starring economies remains astir twofold.

  • Denmark – approx. $100,000 per capita,
  • Greece – approx. $54,000.

Thus, The level of purchasing powerfulness successful Greece remains 1 of the lowest successful the European Union.

Why maturation doesn’t alteration positions

Economists constituent retired that the occupation is not lone the maturation rate, but besides the information that all European countries are increasing astatine the aforesaid time.

This means that adjacent if show improves Greece is not catching up with its competitorsbut lone maintains the lag.

Context: economical structure

Among the factors influencing a country’s position:

  • high dependence connected tourism,
  • limited concern base,
  • lower labour productivity compared to bluish Europe.

At the aforesaid clip growth successful caller years confirms economical recovery aft the indebtedness crisis, but its gait remains insufficient for accelerated rapprochement with EU leaders.

Europe remains stable

Overall, the IMF forecast shows that the structure of economical enactment successful Europe will stay virtually unchanged.

Country20252030 (forecast)
Ireland 2 1
Luxembourg 1 2
Norway 3 3
Switzerland 4 4
Denmark 6 5
Netherlands 7 6
Malta 14 7
Iceland 4 8
Belgium 10 9
Sweden 9 10
Germany 11 12
France 15 15
United Kingdom 12 16
Italy 16 18
Spain 18 22
Greece 29 32
Türkiye 32 29

The leaders will remain:

  • Ireland,
  • Luxembourg,
  • Norway,
  • Switzerland,
  • Denmark.

No state will alteration its presumption by much than a fewer lineswhich indicates the precocious stability of the economical hierarchy successful the region.

What does this mean for Greece

Experts enactment that Accelerating productivity maturation and economical diversification stay cardinal challenges for Greece.

Without this, the state is astatine hazard consolidate astatine the bottommost of the EU rankingsdespite wide economical growth.

Thus, an summation successful indicators does not adjacent a simplification successful the gap – and this is the main decision from the IMF forecast for Greece.

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