ACI World | 22.3 billion air passengers by 2053

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Global rider postulation is expected to scope 22.3 cardinal passengers by 20253, according to estimates by ACI World (Airports Council International). This fig volition beryllium 2 and a fractional times higher than successful 2024, erstwhile 9.5 cardinal passengers were transported (+9% compared to 2023).

However, the estimates for 2024 were not confirmed, arsenic 11.4 cardinal passengers were predicted.

According to the standard of estimates:

From 2024 to 2043, the planetary fig of travelers is expected to turn astatine an yearly complaint of 3.4%, reaching 17.7 cardinal passengers.
By 2045, this fig volition scope 18.7 billion, treble the 2024 figures.
And by 2053, it volition transcend 22 cardinal passengers.
For 2025, planetary rider postulation is expected to scope 9.9 billion, an summation of 4.8% compared to 2024.

Passenger postulation successful 2024

Africa is estimated to person had 236 cardinal aerial passengers successful 2024, a fig corresponding to 107% of the 2019 level.
The Asia-Pacific portion is estimated to person had 5 cardinal passengers past twelvemonth (103% of 2019).
Europe 5 cardinal passengers (102% of 2019).
Latin America and the Caribbean had 746 cardinal passengers (111% of 2019).
The Middle East is estimated to person had 443 cardinal aerial passengers successful 2024 (109% of 2019),
North America 1 cardinal passengers (104% of 2019).

Emerging and processing economies are apt to person higher maturation rates than precocious economies, with the Middle East and Asia-Pacific starring the mode with maturation rates of 5.2% and 5% betwixt 2024 and 2030. This maturation exceeds the planetary mean of 4%.

The interaction of Trump’s tariffs

However, it is important to enactment that planetary aerial rider maturation volition look challenges owed to ongoing geopolitical tensions. The imaginable reimposition of tariffs by the United States by the caller Trump medication could indirectly interaction request for planetary travel. In addition, delays successful craft deliveries by manufacturers airs risks to maturation opportunities, starring to accrued operating costs and affecting rider sentiment.

Justin Erbacci, Director General of ACI World, said airports, airlines, and policymakers indispensable instrumentality bold, forward-looking actions to expect and code aboriginal needs.